Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.352875 0.407567 0.467035 0.536381 0.614905 0.700937 0.802204
2025-10-19 0.265185 0.341135 0.431804 0.547453 0.690408 0.860650 1.078001
2025-10-26 0.213434 0.297694 0.405517 0.552361 0.745697 0.989934 1.319951
2025-11-02 0.176442 0.263443 0.381417 0.551011 0.786070 1.097459 1.537644
2025-11-09 0.147152 0.233548 0.356908 0.542898 0.812484 1.184553 1.731234
2025-11-16 0.124541 0.209078 0.335610 0.534782 0.835292 1.265418 1.919297
2025-11-23 0.104202 0.184602 0.310466 0.516808 0.840044 1.318599 2.069301
2025-11-30 0.097417 0.180594 0.315798 0.545083 0.915562 1.479470 2.386992
2025-12-07 0.083504 0.162475 0.296070 0.530838 0.922664 1.536473 2.550756
2025-12-14 0.071603 0.146044 0.276942 0.514985 0.924757 1.584443 2.702064
2025-12-21 0.062293 0.132933 0.261811 0.503909 0.932961 1.641539 2.870167
2025-12-28 0.057333 0.127372 0.259394 0.514576 0.978462 1.761761 3.147497
2026-01-04 0.054489 0.125783 0.264395 0.539615 1.051994 1.935264 3.527268
2026-01-11 0.050420 0.121124 0.263066 0.552810 1.105552 2.078704 3.866229
2026-01-18 0.045943 0.114905 0.257883 0.557928 1.144368 2.198605 4.171512
2026-01-25 0.041376 0.107766 0.249923 0.556580 1.170506 2.297071 4.444278
2026-02-01 0.036756 0.099771 0.239187 0.548393 1.182496 2.370180 4.675416
2026-02-08 0.032702 0.092468 0.229019 0.540203 1.193472 2.441573 4.906940
2026-02-15 0.028415 0.083871 0.214907 0.522065 1.182665 2.470803 5.061401
2026-02-22 0.027770 0.084540 0.221952 0.550598 1.269646 2.692124 5.589346
2026-03-01 0.024451 0.077562 0.210281 0.536223 1.265578 2.735888 5.780303
2026-03-08 0.021436 0.070883 0.198473 0.520225 1.256498 2.768705 5.951233
2026-03-15 0.019027 0.065498 0.189170 0.509047 1.256794 2.819986 6.160794